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Nigeria’s private exporters are invisible to most investors. We put NGX, CBN, ITC Trade Map, NBS and company filings in one place, for investors and for the companies raising from them.

Cacao pods on the tree
Sector brief · Free

Nigeria wants its cocoa ground at home. Processors need capital.

  • 16 Jul 2026The President announces a push to process cocoa in Nigeria at the Cocoa Value Addition Summit.
  • 19 JulThe agriculture minister clarifies: value addition, not an export ban. Raw beans still ship while grinding capacity is built.
  • 120,000 t+Nigeria’s annual cocoa grinding capacity today.
  • 70,000 tA new processing plant under construction in Sagamu, Ogun State.
  • 6–7%Nigeria’s share of world cocoa output.
  • Aug 2025Raw shea exports banned for six months. The same logic, one crop earlier.

Sources: Premium Times, 19 Jul 2026 · allAfrica, 27 Aug 2025

Method · A. Saliu-Ahmed · inputs 1 Oct 2026

Two dollar hurdles.

A note is capped debt, so it is priced like a loan to a Nigerian exporter: above what the Nigerian government pays on its own dollar bonds (9.75% on the 2029 domestic dollar bond), below equity. Every note must clear about 13.5% a year, net, in dollars. Trade finance of a year or less skips the lock-up premium (about 12%). Equity has no floor and no cap, so it must clear about 18.7%.

US 5-year Treasury (1 Oct 2026)5.01%
Nigeria sovereign spread2.50%
Exporter credit premium (unrated, secured)3.50%
Lock-up premium (notes over 1 year)1.50%
Execution premium1.00%
Note hurdle, net USD≈13.5%
Equity hurdle: 5.01% + 0.80 × 4.23% equity premium + 0.75 × 8.41% Nigeria premium + 2.5% + 1.5%≈18.7%

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